§01Archive
One MDX file per day, committed to content/briefs/ by the morning Routine at 09:00 Asia/Taipei (01:00 UTC). Flash notes from the 18:00 run are folded into the next morning's brief.
Day
Date
Title
Direction
Risk / 7d
C/F 30d
091
2026-05-29
Day 91 brief — 2026-05-29
escalating
conditional
19%
090
2026-05-28
Day 90 brief — 2026-05-28
escalating
conditional
22%
089
2026-05-27
Day 89 brief — 2026-05-27
mixed
conditional
25%
088
2026-05-26
Day 88 brief — 2026-05-26
mixed
conditional
25%
087
2026-05-25
Day 87 brief — 2026-05-25
mixed
conditional
22%
086
2026-05-24
Day 86 brief — 2026-05-24
mixed
critical
19%
085
2026-05-23
Day 85 brief — 2026-05-23
mixed
conditional
17%
084
2026-05-22
Day 84 brief — 2026-05-22
mixed
conditional
18%
083
2026-05-21
Day 83 brief — 2026-05-21
mixed
critical
15%
082
2026-05-20
Day 82 brief — 2026-05-20
mixed
critical
15%
081
2026-05-19
Day 81 brief — 2026-05-19
mixed
conditional
14%
080
2026-05-18
Day 80 brief — 2026-05-18
escalating
extreme
6%
079
2026-05-17
Day 79 brief — 2026-05-17
escalating
extreme
6%
078
2026-05-16
Day 78 brief — 2026-05-16
mixed
conditional
10%
077
2026-05-15
Day 77 brief — 2026-05-15
mixed
conditional
9%
076
2026-05-14
Day 76 brief — 2026-05-14
escalating
critical
8%
075
2026-05-13
Day 75 brief — 2026-05-13
escalating
critical
9%
074
2026-05-12
Day 74 brief — 2026-05-12
escalating
critical
11%
073
2026-05-11
Day 73 brief — 2026-05-11
escalating
critical
14%
072
2026-05-10
Day 72 brief — 2026-05-10
escalating
critical
19%
071
2026-05-09
Day 71 brief — 2026-05-09
escalating
critical
22%
070
2026-05-08
Day 70 brief — 2026-05-08
mixed
conditional
25%
069
2026-05-07
Day 69 brief — 2026-05-07
mixed
conditional
25%
068
2026-05-06
Day 68 brief — 2026-05-06
mixed
extreme
12%
067
2026-05-05
Day 67 brief — 2026-05-05
escalating
critical
8%
066
2026-05-04
Day 66 brief — 2026-05-04
escalating
extreme
13%
065
2026-05-03
Day 65 brief — 2026-05-03
escalating
extreme
16%
064
2026-05-02
Day 64 brief — 2026-05-02
escalating
extreme
19%
063
2026-05-01
Day 63 brief — 2026-05-01
escalating
extreme
22%
062
2026-04-30
Day 62 brief — 2026-04-30
escalating
extreme
25%
061
2026-04-29
Day 61 brief — 2026-04-29
mixed
extreme
28%
060
2026-04-28
Day 60 brief — 2026-04-28
mixed
extreme
26%
059
2026-04-27
Day 59 brief — 2026-04-27
mixed
extreme
30%
058
2026-04-26
Day 58 brief — 2026-04-26
mixed
extreme
28%
057
2026-04-25
Day 57 brief — 2026-04-25
mixed
extreme
32%
056
2026-04-24
Day 56 brief — 2026-04-24
mixed
extreme
30%
055
2026-04-23
Day 55 brief — 2026-04-23
mixed
conditional
32%
054
2026-04-22
Day 54 brief — 2026-04-22
de-escalating
conditional
40%
053
2026-04-21
Day 53 brief — 2026-04-21
de-escalating
conditional
40%
051
2026-04-19
US SEIZES IRANIAN SHIP — IRAN RECLOSES HORMUZ — ROUND 2 STILL TUESDAY
de-escalating
conditional
95%
050
2026-04-18
IRAN REOPENS HORMUZ (CONDITIONAL) — ROUND 2 MONDAY — DEAL '80% COMPLETE'
de-escalating
conditional
20%
049
2026-04-17
LEBANON CEASEFIRE ANNOUNCED — MUNIR MEETS IRAN'S TOP OPERATIONAL COMMANDER
de-escalating
conditional
75%
048
2026-04-16
PAKISTAN'S ARMY CHIEF IN TEHRAN — ROUND 2 TAKING SHAPE
de-escalating
conditional
65%
047
2026-04-15
HALFWAY POINT — THREE TRACKS CONVERGING
de-escalating
conditional
60%
046
2026-04-14
BLOCKADE DAY 1 — US NAVAL BLOCKADE NOW ACTIVE
de-escalating
conditional
45%
045
2026-04-13
US ANNOUNCES HORMUZ BLOCKADE — IRGC THREATENS RETALIATION
escalating
conditional
3%
044
2026-04-12
ISLAMABAD TALKS: NO DEAL — 'FINAL OFFER' LEFT ON TABLE
de-escalating
conditional
55%
043
2026-04-11
Day 43 brief — 2026-04-11
de-escalating
conditional
45%
042
2026-04-10
CEASEFIRE DAY 2 — LEBANON CRISIS THREATENS COLLAPSE
de-escalating
conditional
50%
041
2026-04-09
CEASEFIRE DAY 1 — ALREADY WOBBLING
escalating
conditional
45%
040
2026-04-08
CEASEFIRE ANNOUNCED — TWO-WEEK SUSPENSION
de-escalating
conditional
55%
039
2026-04-07
Day 39 brief — 2026-04-07
escalating
conditional
90%
038
2026-04-06
Day 38 brief — 2026-04-06
mixed
conditional
10%
037
2026-04-05
Day 37 brief — 2026-04-05
escalating
conditional
10%
036
2026-04-04
Day 36 brief — 2026-04-04
escalating
conditional
40%
035
2026-04-03
Day 35 brief — 2026-04-03
escalating
conditional
50%
034
2026-04-02
Day 34 brief — 2026-04-02
escalating
conditional
82%
033
2026-04-01
Day 33 brief — 2026-04-01
escalating
conditional
40%
032
2026-03-31
Day 32 brief — 2026-03-31
escalating
conditional
80%
031
2026-03-30
Day 31 brief — 2026-03-30
de-escalating
conditional
45%
030
2026-03-29
Day 30 brief — 2026-03-29
escalating
conditional
70%
029
2026-03-28
Day 29 brief — 2026-03-28
escalating
conditional
65%
028
2026-03-27
Day 28 brief — 2026-03-27
de-escalating
conditional
35%
027
2026-03-26
Day 27 brief — 2026-03-26
de-escalating
conditional
70%
026
2026-03-25
Day 26 brief — 2026-03-25
de-escalating
conditional
30%
024
2026-03-23
Day 24 brief — 2026-03-23
de-escalating
conditional
20%
023
2026-03-22
Day 23 brief — 2026-03-22
escalating
conditional
40%
022
2026-03-21
Day 22 brief — 2026-03-21
mixed
conditional
40%
021
2026-03-20
Day 21 brief — 2026-03-20
de-escalating
conditional
35%
020
2026-03-19
Day 20 brief — 2026-03-19
escalating
conditional
30%
019
2026-03-18
Day 19 brief — 2026-03-18
escalating
conditional
10%
018
2026-03-17
Day 18 brief — 2026-03-17
escalating
conditional
25%
017
2026-03-16
Day 17 brief — 2026-03-16
escalating
conditional
40%
016
2026-03-15
Day 16 brief — 2026-03-15
escalating
conditional
25%
015
2026-03-14
Day 15 brief — 2026-03-14
escalating
conditional
10%
014
2026-03-13
Day 14 brief — 2026-03-13
escalating
conditional
15%
013
2026-03-12
Day 13 brief — 2026-03-12
escalating
conditional
10%
012
2026-03-11
Day 12 brief — 2026-03-11
escalating
conditional
20%
011
2026-03-10
Day 11 brief — 2026-03-10
escalating
conditional
10%
010
2026-03-09
Day 10 brief — 2026-03-09
escalating
conditional
90%
009
2026-03-08
Day 9 brief — 2026-03-08
escalating
conditional
10%
008
2026-03-07
Day 8 brief — 2026-03-07
escalating
conditional
10%
007
2026-03-06
Day 7 brief — 2026-03-06
escalating
conditional
10%
001
2026-02-28
Operation Epic Fury commences with strikes on Natanz, Fordow, and Isfahan
escalating
extreme
5%