Day 206 brief — Tehran puts seven conditions on the table through Qatar, the Mission presents in Geneva to an empty American seat, and a struck capital moves Brent 78 cents

Day 206 produced the first structured Iranian negotiating instrument since Salalah lapsed. Iran's Supreme National Security Council transmitted seven conditions to Washington through Qatari mediators; four are undisclosed and the three reported ones do not agree across outlets — one account gives an end to the war on all fronts, release of frozen funds and an end to the naval blockade with reparations dropped, another gives guarantees against future aggression, recognition of Iran's legitimate rights and reparations for damage since February 28 (Al Jazeera, Jordan News, Eastern Herald, RFE/RL). Whether compensation survives is the consequential gap, and it is unresolved. In Geneva the Fact-Finding Mission presented to the 47-member Human Rights Council three days after Washington quit the body; the Minab toll is itself reported at more than 150, more than 160 and about 178, and no state had moved toward an ICC referral by the cutoff (OHCHR, UN News, NPR). Markets delivered the verdict the series was waiting for: the first session after a Saudi capital was hit moved Brent 81 cents, or 0.78%, to $104.68, with WTI at $101.06 — less than a fifth of the move the Petroline strike produced. Iran's aviation isolation took effect today as two national carriers stopped Western routes and Georgia suspended sanctioned Iranian airlines, against a rial near 2,311,000 and food inflation at 127.5%. Riyadh published neither retaliation nor casualty figure on a fourth day. Direction holds escalating; seven-day risk extreme; spillover critical; the thirty-day ceasefire probability moves from 2 to 3.